Cosa possiamo imparare dal M5S

Leggo e rispondo al post di Massimo Mantellini (Il M5S, il wifi e il principio di precauzione) in cui si evidenzia con preoccupazione come il Movimento abbia portato in Parlamento, dunque in qualche modo legittimandole, posizioni anti-scientifiche; un “pensiero tossico, banale e a suo modo inattaccabile, che nuoce al Paese intero”.

Il Movimento Cinque Stelle con un bacino elettorale che si aggira tra il 25 e il 30% (8.5-10 milioni di persone) è necessariamente complesso in termini di rappresentanza demografica e di diversità di opinione. Considerando un astensionismo del 25%, se vi trovate in fila al supermercato delle 10 persone che vi precedono circa due votano M5S. Purtroppo questa complessità raramente traspare nelle narrazioni giornalistiche, e chi fa informazione tende (troppo) spesso a preferire i tratti caricaturali (da cappello di carta stagnola o da gita in Corea del Nord, per intenderci). Ma questo tipo di informazione è sbagliata: primo perché distorce nella semplificazione, secondo perché incoraggia comportamenti macchiettistici, grotteschi e sbracati da parte di chi sedendo in istituzioni affollate cerca visibilità.

(more…)

Friday, 22 July 2016

Road to Rome: The organisational and political success of the M5S

The Five Star Movement (M5S) obtained two major victories in the second round of municipal elections on 19 June 2016 in Rome and Turin. Rome attracted the most international attention but it is M5S’ victory in Turin that is likely the most consequential for them and other European anti-establishment parties.

In Rome, a municipality with 2.8 million people and an annual budget of €5 billon, Virginia Raggi (age 37) gained doubled the votes of her contender Roberto Giachetti (age 55). In Turin, a city with a population of 900,000 and an annual budget of €1.69 billion, Chiara Appendino (age 31) outstripped Piero Fassino (age 66) by about 10 percentage points.

Continue reading on Pop Politics Aus

Friday, 8 July 2016

tweets


Twitter: frbailo

links


blogroll


RSS r-bloggers.com

  • RDCOMClient : A Simple Libor IRS Pricing with OIS Discounting
    This post shows a simple example which uses the RDCOMClient R package. As an example, A Libor IRS pricing with OIS discounting is presented with the help of a VBA macro code from Mikael Katajamäki's source with proper citation (this should be always... Continue reading: RDCOMClient : A Simple Libor IRS Pricing with OIS Discounting
  • parallel grid search cross-validation using `crossvalidation`
    parallel grid search cross-validation using `crossvalidation`. Continue reading: parallel grid search cross-validation using `crossvalidation`
  • Working with tree-based hierarchies using data.tree
    Lately I tried to visualize an hierarchy with Tableau Desktop. The problem was that the hierarchy had a variable depth because it was tree-based. Each row had an id and a parent_id. Normally hierarchies in Tableau are defined by pulling some fields together, such as product category, product group ... Continue reading: Working with tree-based […]
  • How to Calculate Mean Absolute Error in R
    Mean Absolute Error in R, when we do modeling always need to measure the accuracy of the model fit. The mean absolute error (MAE)... The post How to Calculate Mean Absolute Error in R appeared first on finnstats. Continue reading: How to Calculate Mean Absolute Error in R
  • Is it worth the weight?
    Intro Oh man, I did it again. Grab a coffee, this is going to be a long one. Weights got me confused. The justification for using weights seems simple enough; if you’re working with a sample in which one (or more) strata are over(under)-represented, you should compute ... Continue reading: Is it worth the weight?

RSS Simply Statistics

  • Streamline - tidy data as a service
    Tldr: We started a company called Streamline Data Science https://streamlinedatascience.io/ that offers tidy data as a service. We are looking for customers, partnerships and employees as we scale up after closing our funding round! Most of my career, I have worked in the muck of data cleaning. In the world of genomics, a lot of […]
  • The Four Jobs of the Data Scientist
    In 2019 I wrote a post about The Tentpoles of Data Science that tried to distill the key skills of the data scientist. In the post I wrote: When I ask myself the question “What is data science?” I tend to think of the following five components. Data science is (1) the application of design […]
  • Palantir Shows Its Cards
    File this under long-term followup, but just about four years ago I wrote about Palantir, the previously secretive but now soon to be public data science company, and how its valuation was a commentary on the value of data science more generally. Well, just recently Palantir filed to go public and therefore submitted a registration […]

RSS Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science